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Publications

• Publications
• Journal Publications
• Other Publications
• Presentations
• Presentations at Professional Meetings
• Poster Presentations
• Abstracts

1. PUBLICATIONS

All the publications listed below report on findings and outcomes specific to the Pileus Project and/or acknowledge EPA support. Only publications that have already appeared in print, or are currently in press at the time of this report are included. A number of additional publications are in preparation or planned but are not included here.

a. Journal Publications

• Zavalloni, C., Andresen, J. A., Winkler, J. A., Flore, J. A., Black, R., & Beedy, T. L. (2005). The Pileus Project: Climatic impacts on sour cherry production in the Great Lakes region in past and projected future time frames. Acta Horticulture. In press.

b. Other Publications

• Beedy, T., Zavalloni, C., Wright, T., Rothwell, N., Nugent, J., Thornsbury, S., et al. (2005). Cost to produce tart cherry in Michigan. Risk Management Assessment Joint Report of UC Davis and Pileus Project. First draft under revision.
• Black, R., Yan, J., Cao, X., & Andresen, J. A. (2006). Procedures to calibrate future climate scenario tart cherry yield probability distisributions based Upon matching historical periods. Michigan Agricultural Experiment Station Research Reportseries.
• Nicholls, S., & Shih. C. (2004). Impact of climate change on recreation and tourism in Michigan.  Proceedings from the Second International Workshop on Climate, Tourism and Recreation. Kolimbari, Crete, Greece, June 8-11. In Matzarakis, A., de Freitas, C.R., Scott, D. (Eds) Advances in Tourism Climatology. Ber. Meteor. Inst. Univ. Freiburg Nr. 12, 49-55.
  Also available online at http://www.mif.uni-freiburg.de/isb/ws2/report.htm.
• Nyambane, G., & Black, R. (2004). Real options puzzle for Michigan tart cherry producers considering replacing blocks or investing in new blocks. Selected Paper, American Agricultural Economics Association, Denver, Colorado.
• Shih, C., & Nicholls, S. (2005). How does the weather influence travel activity? Evidence from Michigan. Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Travel and Tourism Research Association, New Orleans, Louisiana, June 12-15.
• Yan, J. Simulation of annualized net present value for tart cherry investments under alternative climate scenarios. Michigan State University. In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MS.
• Xu, Z., & Black, R. (2005). Optimal farm financial structure under multi-year risk and uncertainty: an application to farms producing perennial crops. 5th Annual Hawaii International Conference on Business.

2. PRESENTATIONS

All the presentations listed below either reported on findings and outcomes specific to the Pileus Project, referenced the Pileus Project as part of the presentation, and/or acknowledged EPA support.

a. Presentations at Professional Meetings

• Guentchev, G., Piromsopa, K., & Winkler, J. A. (2005). "Estimating changes in variability in a perturbed climate using an ensemble approach." Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers (AAG), Denver, Colorado.
• Nicholls, S., & Shih, C. (2003). “Potential implications of climate change for recreation and tourism in Michigan: A research agenda.” East Lakes-West Lakes Regional Meeting of the Association of American Geographers, Western Michigan University, Kalamazoo, Michigan.
• Nicholls, S., & Shih, C. (2004). “Impact of climate (change) on recreation and tourism in Michigan.” Second International Workshop on Climate, Tourism and Recreation, Kolimbari, Crete, Greece
• Nicholls, S., & Shih, C. (2004). “Impact of climate (change) on recreation and tourism in Michigan: A preliminary analysis of the general traffic and ski sectors.” Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania..
• Nicholls, S. (2005). “Climate change and tourism in Michigan: Issues and implications.” 6th Open Meeting of the Human Dimensions of Global Environmental Change Research Community, University of Bonn, Germany.
• Nyambane, G., & Black, R. (2004). "Real options puzzle for Michigan tart cherry producers considering replacing blocks of investing in new blocks." Annual Meeting of the American Agricultural Economics Association (AAE), Denver, Colorado.
• Piromsopa, K., Guentchev, G., & Winkler, J. A. (2005). "The use of data mining techniques to construct regional climate scenarios." Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers (AAG), Denver, Colorado.
• Shih, C., & Nicholls, S. (2005). “How does the weather influence travel activity? Evidence from Michigan.” Travel and Tourism Research Association, New Orleans, Louisiana.
• Winkler, J., Andresen, J., Guentchev, G., Waller, E., & Brown, J., (2003). “Methods for assessing the uncertainty surrounding estimates of regional climate change.” Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers (AAG), New Orleans, Louisiana.
• Zavalloni, C., Andresen, J. A., Flore, J. A., Black, J. R., Beedy, T. L., & Winkler, J. A. (2004). “Climate impacts on sour cherry production in the Great Lakes region in past and projected future time frames”. 7th International Symposium on Modelling, Fruit Research, and Orchard Management, Copenhagen, Denmark.

b. Poster Presentations

• Andresen, J. A., Winkler, J. A., Black, J. R., Holecek, D., Nicholls, S., Sousounis, P. J., et al. (2004). “The Pileus Project: Climate change impact assessment of two industries in the Great Lakes region of North America.” Second International Conference on Climate Impacts Assessment, Grainau, Germany.
  *Note: Poster may be downloaded, but we do not recommend printing due to its large dimensions. *Download the abstract
• Andresen, J. A., Zavalloni, C., Black, J. R., Beedy, T. L., Winkler, J. A., & Bisanz, J. (2003). “Impacts of climate variability and change on tart cherry production in the Great Lake region.”  Great Lakes Expo Horticulture Show.
• Nicholls, S., Amelung, B. & Viner, D. (2005). Implications of climate change for recreation in the United States.
• Nicholls, S., Noh, J., & Holecek, D. (2006). Measuring the Impact of Weather Variability on Golfing Activity in Michigan. Annual Meeting of the Travel and Tourism Research Association, Dublin, Ireland, June 17-20.
  *Note: Poster may be downloaded, but we do not recommend printing due to its large dimensions.
• Nicholls, S., Shih, C., & Holecek, D. (2006). The Impact of Weather Variability on Ski Activity in Michigan and Potential Implications of Climate Change. Annual Meeting of the Travel and Tourism Research Association, Dublin, Ireland, June 17-20.
  *Note: Poster may be downloaded, but we do not recommend printing due to its large dimensions.
• Nicholls, S., & Viner, D. (2005). Implications of climate change for tourism: A global analysis by Bas Amelung. Travel and Tourism Research Assocaiation (TTRA) Conference, New Orleans, LA, June.

3. ABSTRACTS

• Bisanz, J. (2004). "The Pileus Project: Climate variability and change for decision-makers in the Great Lakes region ." Regional Exchange (RDX) conference, Detroit, Michigan.
• Shih, C., & Holocek, D. F. (2004). "Identifying and Examining Tourism-related Traffic in Michigan Using Highway Vehicle Counts for the 17th Annual Northeastern Recreation Research Symposium." Bolton Landing, New York.
• Zavalloni, C., Andresen, J. A., Black, R., Beedy,T., Flore, J., & Winkler, J. A. (2004). 7th International Symposium on Modelling in Fruit Research and Orchard Management, Copenhagen, Denmark.